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Protective service

Fire inspectors and investigators

Typically requires Postsecondary nondegree award

What is this page & how do I use it?

This is a research report for one career — the kind an analyst would write for a stock. The rating at the top is the neutral baseline (same for everyone); below it come the cases for and against, how the last official forecast for this career actually aged, and what the education path costs and pays.

How to use it: read the bulls-vs-bears case, then hit Score this career to weigh it against your other options with your own interests factored in.

CareerStar rating
MixedMedium uncertainty
top 20% of all 730 careers

Analyst take: Strong market prospects — +3.8% projected growth, low AI exposure (29/100).

54
/ 100
low riskhigh
top row = high reward

Moat (borrowed from investing — the water that defends a castle): how shielded this career is from AI. Narrow = some shelter, but AI can reach a real share of its tasks.

The small grid is a style box (borrowed from Morningstar’s fund reports): the blue square places this career on reward (top row = high) versus risk (left column = low), against all 730 careers. Medium uncertainty means the score leans partly on forward-looking bets like AI exposure, so treat the exact number loosely.

🐂 Bulls say
  • +High pay — above 73% of careers ($78,060).
  • +Low AI exposure — resilient (29% of tasks exposed).
  • +Strong projected growth — outpaces 64% of careers (+3.8%).
🐻 Bears say
  • Its softest spot: growth is middling.
📜 Reality check — how the last forecast for this career fared

In 2014, the U.S. government projected +5.6% growth for this career by 2024. What actually happened: +18.5%. Reality beat the forecast — a reminder that every number on this page is an estimate, and this is how the last one aged. Full back-test →

Was this rating fair?
Projected growth
+3.8%
Median pay
$78,060
AI exposure
29/100
share of tasks exposed to AI — not job loss

Education & ROI — how to get here

Real outcomes for the college majors that feed this occupation, across 52 bachelor’s programs.

Median earnings
$57,522
1 year after graduating
Typical debt
$22,723
median federal debt
Pay-to-debt
2.5×
first-year pay ÷ debt
Feeder majors
Fire Systems Technology
Selective schools offering these majors
College of the Ozarks
MO · 12% admit rate
$33,734/yr
$41,592 grad pay
University of Florida
FL · 24% admit rate
$22,523/yr
$71,588 grad pay
Anna Maria College
MA · 50% admit rate
$61,888/yr
$46,651 grad pay
Providence College
RI · 51% admit rate
$80,466/yr
$87,054 grad pay
Lindenwood University
MO · 57% admit rate
$35,436/yr
$53,278 grad pay
CUNY John Jay College of Criminal Justice
NY · 57% admit rate
$14,212/yr
$56,195 grad pay

Earnings & debt from the U.S. Dept. of Education College Scorecard; majors mapped to this occupation via the NCES CIP→SOC crosswalk. A grounded ROI snapshot, not a guarantee — pay varies widely by school and specialty.

What this work involves

protectiveservicephysical