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Installation & repair

Bus and truck mechanics and diesel engine specialists

Typically requires High school diploma or equivalent

What is this page & how do I use it?

This is a research report for one career — the kind an analyst would write for a stock. The rating at the top is the neutral baseline (same for everyone); below it come the cases for and against, how the last official forecast for this career actually aged, and what the education path costs and pays.

How to use it: read the bulls-vs-bears case, then hit Score this career to weigh it against your other options with your own interests factored in.

CareerStar rating
MixedLow uncertainty
top 33% of all 730 careers

Analyst take: Decent prospects — +2.4% projected growth, low AI exposure (0/100).

48
/ 100
low riskhigh
top row = high reward

Moat (borrowed from investing — the water that defends a castle): how shielded this career is from AI. Wide = well-defended — few automatable tasks, built on skills few other jobs have.

The small grid is a style box (borrowed from Morningstar’s fund reports): the blue square places this career on reward (top row = high) versus risk (left column = low), against all 730 careers. Low uncertainty means the score leans mostly on measured data (growth, pay) rather than forward-looking bets, so it's comparatively solid.

🐂 Bulls say
  • +Low AI exposure — resilient (0% of tasks exposed).
🐻 Bears say
  • Its softest spot: growth is middling.
📜 Reality check — how the last forecast for this career fared

In 2014, the U.S. government projected +12% growth for this career by 2024. What actually happened: +21.2%. The forecast held up well — a reminder that every number on this page is an estimate, and this is how the last one aged. Full back-test →

Was this rating fair?
Projected growth
+2.4%
Median pay
$60,640
AI exposure
0/100
share of tasks exposed to AI — not job loss

Education & ROI — how to get here

Real outcomes for the college majors that feed this occupation, across 24 bachelor’s programs.

Median earnings
$52,980
1 year after graduating
Typical debt
$19,834
median federal debt
Pay-to-debt
2.7×
first-year pay ÷ debt
Feeder majors
Vehicle Maintenance and Repair Technologies/Technicians
Selective schools offering these majors
Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University-Worldwide
FL · 58% admit rate
$24,878/yr
$84,131 grad pay
Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University-Daytona Beach
FL · 65% admit rate
$64,632/yr
$84,131 grad pay
Southern Adventist University
TN · 66% admit rate
$38,618/yr
$53,723 grad pay
Siena Heights University
MI · 69% admit rate
$44,449/yr
$57,529 grad pay
Calvary University
MO · 72% admit rate
$23,938/yr
$45,421 grad pay
Southeastern Oklahoma State University
OK · 76% admit rate
$18,594/yr
$45,079 grad pay

Earnings & debt from the U.S. Dept. of Education College Scorecard; majors mapped to this occupation via the NCES CIP→SOC crosswalk. A grounded ROI snapshot, not a guarantee — pay varies widely by school and specialty.

What this work involves

tradesmechanicalhands-onrepair