Locomotive engineers
Typically requires High school diploma or equivalent
What is this page & how do I use it?
This is a research report for one career — the kind an analyst would write for a stock. The rating at the top is the neutral baseline (same for everyone); below it come the cases for and against, how the last official forecast for this career actually aged, and what the education path costs and pays.
How to use it: read the bulls-vs-bears case, then hit Score this career to weigh it against your other options with your own interests factored in.
Analyst take: Decent prospects — +0.7% projected growth, low AI exposure (29/100).
Moat (borrowed from investing — the water that defends a castle): how shielded this career is from AI. Narrow = some shelter, but AI can reach a real share of its tasks.
The small grid is a style box (borrowed from Morningstar’s fund reports): the blue square places this career on reward (top row = high) versus risk (left column = low), against all 730 careers. Medium uncertainty means the score leans partly on forward-looking bets like AI exposure, so treat the exact number loosely.
- +High pay — above 72% of careers ($77,400).
- +Low AI exposure — resilient (29% of tasks exposed).
- −Slow growth — behind 64% of careers.
In 2014, the U.S. government projected -2.2% growth for this career by 2024. What actually happened: -33.2%. Reality fell short of the forecast — a reminder that every number on this page is an estimate, and this is how the last one aged. Full back-test →