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Transportation

Captains, mates, and pilots of water vessels

Typically requires Postsecondary nondegree award

What is this page & how do I use it?

This is a research report for one career — the kind an analyst would write for a stock. The rating at the top is the neutral baseline (same for everyone); below it come the cases for and against, how the last official forecast for this career actually aged, and what the education path costs and pays.

How to use it: read the bulls-vs-bears case, then hit Score this career to weigh it against your other options with your own interests factored in.

CareerStar rating
MixedMedium uncertainty
top 38% of all 730 careers

Analyst take: Decent prospects — +0.5% projected growth, low AI exposure (26/100).

46
/ 100
low riskhigh
top row = high reward

Moat (borrowed from investing — the water that defends a castle): how shielded this career is from AI. Narrow = some shelter, but AI can reach a real share of its tasks.

The small grid is a style box (borrowed from Morningstar’s fund reports): the blue square places this career on reward (top row = high) versus risk (left column = low), against all 730 careers. Medium uncertainty means the score leans partly on forward-looking bets like AI exposure, so treat the exact number loosely.

🐂 Bulls say
  • +High pay — above 79% of careers ($85,540).
  • +Low AI exposure — resilient (26% of tasks exposed).
🐻 Bears say
  • Slow growth — behind 66% of careers.
📜 Reality check — how the last forecast for this career fared

In 2014, the U.S. government projected +10.3% growth for this career by 2024. What actually happened: +16%. The forecast held up well — a reminder that every number on this page is an estimate, and this is how the last one aged. Full back-test →

Was this rating fair?
Projected growth
+0.5%
Median pay
$85,540
AI exposure
26/100
share of tasks exposed to AI — not job loss

Education & ROI — how to get here

Real outcomes for the college majors that feed this occupation, across 7 bachelor’s programs.

Median earnings
$74,463
1 year after graduating
Typical debt
$25,771
median federal debt
Pay-to-debt
2.9×
first-year pay ÷ debt
Feeder majors
Marine Science/Merchant Marine Officer
Selective schools offering these majors
United States Merchant Marine Academy
NY · 34% admit rate
$9,168/yr
$90,610 grad pay
Maine Maritime Academy
ME · 54% admit rate
$31,046/yr
$89,964 grad pay
Texas A&M University-College Station
TX · 57% admit rate
$32,696/yr
$72,097 grad pay
SUNY Maritime College
NY · 72% admit rate
$29,786/yr
$95,951 grad pay
Massachusetts Maritime Academy
MA · 95% admit rate
$31,367/yr
$82,392 grad pay
Cal Poly Maritime Academy
CA · 95% admit rate
$29,853/yr
$94,784 grad pay

Earnings & debt from the U.S. Dept. of Education College Scorecard; majors mapped to this occupation via the NCES CIP→SOC crosswalk. A grounded ROI snapshot, not a guarantee — pay varies widely by school and specialty.

What this work involves

transportationhands-onlogistics